The tropical disturbance that made its way from the the Midwest region, down the Atlantic coastline, across northern Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico is beginning to deteriorate as it gets closer to the Texas/Mexico coastline.  Location and its possible future tracks in the image below. (PLEASE CLICK ON IMAGE TO ENHANCE IMAGE)

Figure 1. Infrared satellite taken at 1845Z 6/2/2011. Storm's center has made a slight turn towards the south.

A mid-level ridge has been directing this low to curve into the Gulf of Mexico.  Fortunately, strong shear has been breaking up the organization of this system.  Therefore, there is very little chance of this thing developing into anything stronger than it is right now.  It looks like, as of right now, that it will strike just south of the Rio Grande Valley if it stays organized.  However, even if it does, it will still give the Valley a few clouds for tonight and tomorrow, and maybe a slight chance of a shower if this disturbance holds together (key words are “holds together”).

Rest of the Week/Weekend Forecast

In addition to this system, showers are still possible (10-20%) tomorrow and Saturday due to the sea-breeze.  Don’t change any of your plans, though.  Rain will not be wide-spread, just very brief and isolated. Winds will be a little breezy out of the east-southeast for much of the weekend, with a shift out of the northeast on Sunday morning and afternoon, then switching out of the east by Sunday evening.  Temperatures will remain warm near the coast and warmer the further west you travel in the Valley.

Figure 2. Edinburg's 3-day forecast issued 6/2/2011


About Brian

University of Oklahoma graduate with a degree in Meteorology. Follow me on Twitter: @WeatherInformer
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