RGV FORECAST (6/6/2011)

There is not much change in the foreseeable future for the Rio Grande Valley, in terms of the weather.  Right now, much of the central and eastern United States are under an upper-level ridge, maintaining dry, stable conditions.  Surface high pressure in the Gulf of Mexico will become stationary, bringing winds out of the southeast for the Rio Grande Valley for most, if not, remainder of the week and into the weekend.  This stagnant weather pattern doesn’t look like it will change much at all over the next 240 hours.  Most of the active weather will be in the Pacific Northwest and in the Northern Plains, as shortwave trough after shortwave trough will continue to push through the northern CONUS.  Therefore, with easterly winds becoming southeasterly over the next couple of days for the RGV, should bring an increase in temperatures, humidity and gustier winds this week.

Figure 1. Edinburg's 3-Day Forecast. Issued 6/6/2011

Invest 94

On another note, invest 94 continues to gain strength in the Caribbean.  It has a great probability of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48-72 hours.  If it does, it will be the first named tropical system for the Atlantic region.  There is still a lot of question as to where it will be going.  Since the atmosphere is stagnant, it is anyone’s guess right now.  Below are a few computer models’ future tracks and as you can see, not even they agree as to where it is going to end up.

Figure 2. 12Z model runs of Invest 94. Different lines indicate different models.

Figure 3. Infrared Satellite image taken at 1745Z 6/6/2011 of Invest 94 in the Caribbean Sea.


About Brian

University of Oklahoma graduate with a degree in Meteorology. Follow me on Twitter: @WeatherInformer
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